The Unlikely Political Alliance Between San Francisco’s “Progressives” On The East Side, And The NIMBYs On The West Side.

The Unlikely Political Alliance Between San Francisco’s “Progressives” On The East Side, And The NIMBYs On The West Side.

The Unlikely Political Alliance Between San Francisco’s “Progressives” On The East Side, And The NIMBYs On The West Side.

The Unlikely Political Alliance Between San Francisco’s “Progressives” On The East Side, And The NIMBYs On The West Side.

Consider this scenario: you are an elected official to the San Francisco Board of Supervisors in District 5, and you want to hold on to your seat.  Now, this is not exactly homogenous in its population – half of the electorate are rich, white, affluent homeowners that like their year-over-year home value growth, and see multi-unit housing in their neighborhoods as destructive to their home values.

The other half of District 5 is lower-income, non-white renters who fear displacement by rich, white techies invading their neighborhood, raising the rents (because they will pay more), and financially supporting that new wine bar that just moved in to serve these new tenants (with the local, beloved carniceria going out of business because these new arrivals would rather spend their money on artisan cocktails and Michelin-starred restaurants than a local butcher).

Our Board of Supervisor member in this districts needed (and continues to need) to win both of these groups over to win.  How does he do that? How did this specific Board of Supervisor get elected to his seat in 2019? 

Well, here you have a candidate who had, previously to seeking office, founded a nonprofit whose mission statement was to dedicate itself to “defending and advancing the rights of California tenants to safe, decent, and affordable housing.” So he has satisfied the Progressives. What about the NIMBYs?

In response to a proposed project in his district, he said he didn’t like the ‘look” of the new homes, and that such “plain ugly…huge modern…buildings” endanger the “fabric and character” of his “intimate, historic neighborhood.”  All you need to do is utter phrases about the “character of the neighborhood,” and you could stage dive into the adoring arms of a NIMBY crowd.

If you look at the two columns in the graphic above, you can see that what each group says has almost nothing in common with the other.  Progressives and NIMBYs don’t exactly talk like each other.  But when you look at what they do – their actual behavior – some very clear associative patterns appear.  On the left-hand side of the graphic, you have two very different types of electorate, but they are fundamentally aligned in their approach to new housing.

And while the NIMBYs and Progressives have different reasons, the reality is that their behavior and desired outcomes are in total alignment (i.e., blocking or substantially impeding new development). So there it is, an unusual political alliance.

The Unlikely Political Alliance Between San Francisco’s “Progressives” On The East Side, And The NIMBYs On The West Side.

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The Unlikely Political Alliance Between San Francisco’s “Progressives” On The East Side, And The NIMBYs On The West Side.

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